Thursday, October 12, 2006

SENATE RACE UPDATE

SENATE RACE UPDATE:

The current US Senate composition is 55 Republicans, 44 Democrats and an Independent.

As far as the Senate race goes, so far, I am looking to call Montana, Missouri, Ohio and Pennsylvania as Democratic pick-ups. It is still too soon to call Rhode Island, Tennessee and Virginia for the blue team. The race in New Jersey seems to be tightening and looks at this point to be a toss-up, and is the only potential Republican gain I see in the Senate.

If the Democrats get those four likely seats, and the GOP doesn't pick up New Jersey, and Lieberman and Sanders are both elected as Independents, it will be:

51 Republicans, 47 Democrats and 2 Independents.

The Democrats will still need to win 2 out of the three seats in RI, Tenn, and Virginia to reduce the GOP to 49. That would leave the standings at 49 GOP and 49 Democrats with Sanders and Lieberman holding the balance of power and likely supporting the Democrats for the elections to Senate leadership positions, etc.

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